American media: Erdogan is playing with fire in Syria
By fully supporting the Syrian armed opposition, the Turkish government has placed itself in a position that exceeds the capabilities of this country, a position that may lead to the escalation of tensions in the region and the conflict between Turkey and the United States.
According to Isna, the American analytical media in an article referring to the support of the Turkish government to the armed groups that dominated Syria under the leadership of Tahrir al-Sham, reported that Ankara’s actions show its overconfidence and there may be a risk of double instability in the region. to bring along
“Sinan Jeddi”, the senior researcher of Turkish issues at the think tank “Foundation for the Defense of Democracies”, recently wrote in an article in “Foreign Policy” magazine that Turkey may have advanced too much in Syria. Pointing to the rapid progress of the developments, he said that it seems that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is seeking to dominate the political future of Syria and competes with Moscow and Tehran in this direction.
This analyst, in a new article published in the US-based “1945” analytical database, says that even the term “playing with fire” is not enough to describe Erdogan’s actions in Syria, and these actions should deeply worry the new administration of “Donald Trump” in the United States. slow, because Erdogan probably intends to introduce Turkey as part of the solution to the Syrian problems, and this could bring the risk of intensifying instability in the region.
Türkiye’s support for the Tahrir al-Sham delegation
According to this report, it seems that Ankara is preparing Tahrir al-Sham to take power in Syria. Turkey presents the group as an organization that can create a bureaucratic government, maintain law and order, and serve Syria’s diverse population. This is why Ankara, as a member of the NATO alliance, has offered to support Tahrir al-Sham with arms.
The possibility of a NATO member supporting this group with weapons has been raised while the Tahrir al-Sham delegation has roots in al-Qaeda and its leaders – unlike NATO members – oppose the occupation of the Zionist regime. According to this analyst, Erdogan wants to control Tahrir al-Sham’s leader Abu Muhammad al-Jolani and shape the mechanisms of this group in accordance with his views in order to achieve his ultimate goal. It means the destruction of the Kurdish autonomous region in northern Syria.
This area of Syrian territory is under the control of the “Syrian Democratic Union Party” and the “Syrian Democratic Forces” known as “QSD”, a military group that has been supported by the United States and Ankara considers it a serious threat against it.
Internal goals
Sinan Jadi, an assistant professor of security studies at the US Marine Corps University, says that Erdogan’s goal in intensifying pressure on the Kurds is to distract Turkish citizens from the economic failures of his government. Reports indicate that Turkey currently has between 16,000 and 18,000 armed forces in Syria and is mobilizing forces along the border near Kobani (Ain al-Arab) to remove the control of the Syrian Democratic Union Party and the SDF forces. . This analyst also suggests that Erdogan will settle some of the Syrian refugees in Turkey in order to create a buffer zone.
What will Trump do?
Trump, who won this year’s US presidential election in November and will enter the White House in the first month of next year, recently described Erdogan’s actions as “unfriendly”. According to this analyst, Trump may completely ignore the Syrian issue and adopt a policy of prioritizing America’s domestic issues. On the other hand, he may use Syria as leverage against Russia and Iran to end the war in Ukraine and reduce tensions between Tehran and Tel Aviv.
Abandoning the Syrian Kurds
In this report, pointing out that the United States and the West are in conflict with Ankara on the issue of supporting their Kurdish allies, calling the Kurdish forces in Syria terrorists is considered an inappropriate action.
“A simple agreement on security guarantees between Erdogan and the leaders of the Syrian Democratic Union Party could address Türkiye’s concerns,” the report said.
According to this analyst, excluding the Kurds from the future of Syria can increase instability. The report states: “Turkey’s war against the SDF forces will not only destabilize the region, but also provide the ground for ISIS to reorganize and launch a new campaign to establish its caliphate.”
Pointing to Erdoğan’s overconfidence, Sinan Jadi emphasizes that his offensive strategy carries great risks and is dangerous not only for Syria, but for the entire region. Ignoring these risks can lead to long-term consequences that are irreversible.
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