Robert Kiosaki: Bitcoin bubble will soon crack

Robert Kiosaki released a post on the X -Social Network, announcing the bursting of risky assets, especially Bitcoin.

Robert Kiosaki, a renowned author of the book Rich Father, Father, and experienced investor who has always offered prominent views on the world’s economic situation, recently posted a message on the X -Social Networking platform (former Twitter) that attracted the attention of many financial markets and digital currencies. In this message, Kiosaki warned of the imminent burst of a large economic bubble and predicted that it could have a significant impact on popular assets such as bitcoin, gold and silver.

In his analysis, Kiosaki described the current conditions of the global economy as similar to periods when economic bubbles have been formed and eventually exploded. He predicts that with the bursting of this large bubble, not only more risky assets, but also gold and silver as well as bitcoin will also fall. According to Kiosaki, if the price of gold, silver and bitcoin falls sharply, this is a good news for him, as there is an exceptional opportunity to buy these assets at very low prices.

Bitcoin’s fall in the aftermath of economic bubble bursting

As one of the most prominent financial commentators and fierce supporters of alternative assets, Robert Kiosaki has been constantly emphasizing the importance of financial literacy, investing in productive assets, and at the same time, maintaining the value of assets against expansionary monetary policy and inflation. Meanwhile, Ramsar Bitcoin had a special place in his proposed basket.

However, his recent remarks on the X -Social network indicate or at least expressed deep concerns about the current situation of the digital currency market. He not only talks about the possibility of “Bitcoin bubble bursting”, but also describes the event as “good news”. He has always believed that the descending market is providing a golden opportunity to buy quality assets at very low prices. In general, three causes are examined at three levels for the possibility of bitcoin loss, which we will mention below.

Bitcoin loss from the perspective of the technical chart

Kiosaki refers to the impressive rise of Bitcoin in the past three months, during which the price is around $ 1.2 To stunning surfaces over $ 1.2 Has jumped. This rapid and almost uninterrupted growth in the technical diagrams is often seen as a sign of asset entry into the “saturation” area. Buying saturation is a situation in which the price of an asset has rapidly increased and exceeded its inherent value or historical averages. When an asset is in the saturation area of the purchase, the likelihood of modifying the price (temporary price reduction) or even a downtrend increases, as new buyers become less and profitable sellers.

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Kiosaki points to the possibility of the “bitcoin bubble” that may crack soon. Another point that reinforces Kiosaki analysis is the enormous amount of capital into the Bitcoin -based stock markets (ETF) in the United States. Only in the second decade of July 1404, over $ 1.5 billion The new capital has flowed into these funds.

However, the history of financial markets has shown that the sudden and bulky entry of capital into an asset, especially after a period of waiting or excitement, is often accompanied by changes. That is to say, investors first buy the capital and sell after the news (such as ETF approval), selling profits. These sales can put a downward pressure on price and lead to reform.

Bitcoin’s fall from the perspective of global economy

Robert Kiosaki’s recent remarks about the bursting of the bitcoin bubble are raised while the US economy is struggling with the challenges. US national debt now off the border $ 1.2 trillion Has passed. Forecasts suggest that this figure from the border by the end of the year $ 2 trillion It will go beyond. This continuous rise in national debt raises serious concerns about US long -term financial sustainability and the government’s ability to fulfill its obligations.

Meanwhile, the return on two -year US treasury securities has reached a level above 4.9 percent. This process is exactly what Robert Kiosaki points out. He believes that the attractiveness of secure assets such as bonds will increase as US government debt reaches unprecedented levels and inflation remains in place.

This transfer of capital from risky assets to safer assets can lead to a decline in demand for bitcoin, gold and stocks, resulting in a “significant reform” or even “deep reduction” in these markets. Kiosaki calls this vision “good news” because it believes that this reform will provide an opportunity to buy valuable assets such as Bitcoin at lower prices in the future.

Bitcoin loss from the perspective of intra -network data

Based on the latest in -grid data extracted from platforms such as Golsodo and Cryptocunism, the output profit ratio index (SOPR) is in the range of 1.2. This value indicates that the current Bitcoin owners are still in profits, and this profit has created an incentive to sell among them.

In addition, the data indicates a decrease in the ratio of bitcoins kept by long -term buyers, which is decreasing compared to the total supply. This trend means increasing sales activity by investors who have long had their queen, and this includes even early -time investors.

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On the other hand, statistics show that the number of bitcoins that have been transferred to the currency exchanges in the past 7 days has increased to 4.3 units daily. This level of Bitcoin’s transfer to currency exchanges was last observed in November (November 1); The period when the market saw a significant 5 % price correction in Bitcoin.

Given these cases, it can be said that the current intra -network data send a preliminary alert (yellow alert) to the market. This means that extensive and systematic sales have not yet begun, but the signs that indicate preparedness for such sales are clearly visible.

Kiosaki’s prediction of market falling

Robert Kiosaki has always introduced Bitcoin alongside precious metals such as gold and silver, as key assets in his investment basket. One of the highlights in analyzing Kiosaki’s remarks is to put Bitcoin in a level with gold and silver, which represents his belief in the potential of this digital asset as a valuable reserve against economic instability.

Statistical data released by Intotheblock in July provides evidence of significant correlation between bitcoin, gold and silver. An analysis of the 2 -day correlation coefficient between these three assets shows that in the medium -term intervals, bitcoin often tends to follow similar price trends to valuable metals.

For example, in the fall of markets in November (November 1) and the following months, as well as in the banking crisis on March 1, both Bitcoin and Gold’s assets were able to experience significant growth. In contrast, in periods when the actual return on US Treasury bonds and the value of the US dollar is reinforced, the solidarity between bitcoin and precious metals tends to decline and even be negative.

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According to historical evidence, Kiosaki’s analysis that “if the Bitcoin bubble crashes, gold, silver and bitcoin will fall together” is statistically and behavioral. This prediction is based on the assumption that investors seek to criticize their assets and convert them into cash or very secure assets under severe economic crisis or the collapse of financial markets. However, Kiosaki insists that the fall will probably be temporary and superficial.

Kiosaki has repeatedly emphasized that any price correction in the Bitcoin market is an opportunity to buy. His investment strategy is clearly based on “staircase buying” during price reforms and then “long -term maintenance”. Based on Kiosaki’s previous statements, he is the price level between $ 1.2 to $ 4.9 It is considered as suitable areas for re -entry into the bitcoin market (or increased investment). This price range corresponds to common technical analysis that often refers to key support levels.