Many believe that the developme of productive artificial ielligence by destroying thousands of jobs will affect the demand for human resources and immigras. Massoud Zamani, a researcher at theoretical technology, has a completely differe theoretical technology. He believes that the population aging crisis in developed couries and the increasing need for experts, especially in the Data Science, will not reduce immigration, but will form an unprecedeed iernational competition to attract elites.
The emergence of artificial ielligence goes back to decades ago, but the unveiling of chats and video production and video production has played an importa role in the influence of this technology io our daily lives. The same has also worried people about learning the General AI. Some see artificial ielligence as a major threat to the labor market, and some believe that this technology is a tool that helps increase productivity.
Concerns about the future of the labor market have also expanded to immigration. One of the main reasons for the migration of developed couries is the attraction of human capital; Therefore, some believe that with the replaceme of artificial ielligence with humans, immigras will also decline.
In some couries, some political eves have iensified ai -immigra policies and the people of these couries have welcomed it; In the US, Canada, and Germany, for example, politicians have become more concerned with such thinking.
Last January, at the conference on “Scieific Elite Migration in Iran Today, Challenges and Solutions announced only 16 % of Iranians do not think about immigration; Therefore, examining immigration trends is very importa for young people to make a better decision for their future.
To answer the question of whether or not the migration process will change in the near future and influenced by artificial ielligence, we talked to Massoud Zamani, a technology researcher.
Before answering this question, he emphasized that a general ruling could be issued; Because there are several factors that are effective in migration, but there are certain patterns that can predict the future.
According to Zamani, couries with low and elderly population growth rates, such as Italy, Japan and South Korea, will be forced to attract specialist forces from other couries in the near future.
His remarks can be understood that in the future a war will be formed to attract tales, and even artificial ielligence will help better sieve for immigration applicas.
Mojtaba Astana – Digiato: Some believe that the progress of artificial ielligence will reduce the demand for labor and, of course, immigras. You agree with this?
Massoud Zamani – Technology Researcher: I think we must first determine the task of several issues. First, does artificial ielligence lead to the loss of some jobs? The answer is simple: Yes. Every automation causes some jobs to be eliminated and some are created. Usually, the number of jobs (by automation) was more than the jobs that were destroyed.
I think the jobs that destroy artificial ielligence will be more than the jobs that will be created. These new jobs may also not have a key role in economic value creation; That is, it is more focused on eertainme and, for example, does not create a new job in agriculture or the automotive industry.
Another poi is that everyone usually thinks that artificial ielligence makes workers unemployed, such as McDonald’s worker who receives the least salaries in America, with a robot replaced. This is not true. Incideally, the ceer of cost is the most attractive option for automation; That is, those who get the most salaries, like middle managers, are a more attractive option to delete.
Another issue to consider is the precise and specific definition of “expert”. We have no data on a specialist and non -specialist composition in migra populations to any coury. This can vary depending on the immigration policies of each coury; For example, couries with land borders with war -torn or crisis couries are likely to host more non -specialized immigras. On the other hand, a coury like England, the island, has a better corol over the process of mass migration. Most of the illegal immigration to the United States is also carried out on the land borders of Mexico and Canada; Therefore, each coury has differe conditions in the discussion of immigration tailored to the ecosystem, geopolitical environme and developmes around the couries around.
It is not possible to issue an overview of the change of migration of all couries. Should we specify about North America or Europe? Even immigration policies in European couries are differe. If we consider the US, Canada, and a few European couries, I agree that artificial ielligence and robotics in the next few years will reduce the need for non -workers, but I believe it will increase the need for specialist force; Because there are other factors and we should not just look at the car. One of the most importa factors is the world’s age pyramid. Sunni Pyramid most developed couries are being reversed; That is, some people die or get out of the job market, but on the other hand, they are not born or eer the job market; In other words, the population growth rate is below 2.1 and this is very dangerous. Couries like Italy, South Korea and Japan have reached a critical poi; For example, the South Korean population is one -fourth for another 30 years. Preveing it is not simple and requires a 100 -year -old process; So couries will need a specialist force, and I think the immigration process in the world coinues.
Another semi -misunderstanding of the automation debate is that production (especially Manufacturing) is also automated and no longer need workers. When the car comes, the level of production increases, but it is not like 20 robots in a factory, but it can be set up by the same automation 20 new factories that increase the capacity; So I don’t think there will be a serious challenge in this sector.
Regarding nationalism and the ai -immigration policies you meioned, they are not opposed to attracting specialist forces, but they do not like the non -specialist forces to eer their coury.
Another importa parameter is the spending of immigras in the destination coury. When the coury’s population is reduced, their GDP concept is also reduced and money turnover decreases; Like there is no one to buy shoes, go to the restaura, and the industries are damaging.
Artificial ielligence will probably lead to better screening of applicas and stronger supervision so that people who do not have enough education are high age and have no children, not accepted; Because for them these people will be overwhelming.
An educated and specialized person in the right direction, many couries will seek him. Such a person can create both the creation and the turnover.
Digiato: We probably have to wait for the war to attract tale in the future? Artificial ielligence, as a tool, will help the applicas better.
Massoud Zamani: The US Congress in 2020 produced a report on artificial ielligence and US -China confroation. One of the ieresting pois of the report was that the United States needs a million data philahouse (data scieist) in order to stay out of China and remain the leader. Well America does not have that number and cannot supply such a capacity through research and university; So the best way to attract this force is from other couries.
When I was in Iran, I reviewed and came to the conclusion that Iran needed 40 to 50,000 Data Scieists a few years ago to reach a good position. It is a difficult task to grow so many power, it was easier to attract them from other couries. Therefore, demand for these people is increasing, and couries are trying to make the process of recruitme faster and more painless with the help of artificial ielligence.
It should be noted that we should not betray the word. For example, we call Lionel Messi (Argeine football star) and also tell the one who plays in the fourth -hand league; So we have to consider the middle, and for example, one who has worked with Python and several libraries is not scieist. Such a person should have good skills in math, linear algebra and statistics as well as 4-5 years of work experience; So to hear that artificial ielligence eliminates programmers, there are those that have not worked very deeply in this area.
What skills do you think is more importa in the age of artificial ielligence?
The answer to this question is very difficult; Keeping also makes a mistake, but I have no doubt that soft skills will always be serious and need more in the future.
In the discussion of soft skills, what is a serious obstacle to the immigra community is language. Problem solving and critical thinking are among the branches of soft skills in which the discussion of verbal skills is importa.
To someone who iends to experience their future in other couries, I suggest that it works more on speech skills, regardless of what a good specialty is. Why? Given the Trendy, all the answers are available, and now it is importa to be able to ask the right question at the right time. In fact, the better, the more transpare and the more precise we can, the more the chance to find the answer and success; So I emphasize the verbal skills. People have to practice correct criticism and conversation as long as they can. Of course, it is possible for people to communicate through thought in the next few years, but uil then, this skill is very importa.
I also think there is a new section in computer science that is based on the knowledge that is going to work on artificial ielligence.
Another importa poi is the big chat between the relationship between industries and artificial ielligence. What is known as the Fourth Industrial Revolution requires multidisciplinary people. People who know the mining industry, for example, are well acquaied with artificial ielligence. These people can make tools. Creating this tool is not abstract, and we need the same verbal and conversation skill to solve the problem.
It is not true that not to study mining or metallurgy anymore, or a field like civilization is eliminated by learning artificial ielligence. These strings will not be eliminated, but will change depending on the conditions.
In your talk, you meioned the need for 50,000 data in Iran uil rece years that this need has not been met, and we only saw some dramatic moves such as the launch of the National Artificial Ielligence Agency. Given the gap between Iran and developed couries in the field of artificial ielligence, will immigration from Iran expand?
Unlike many couries where people can easily migrate, Iranians are facing linguistic and political barriers that complicate immigration. If we put this poi aside, yes you are right.
If the market dimensions in Iran were wider and deeper, for example, we were a coury with a dollar GDP, we could say that you were not right, but with these conditions Iran seems to me to be right.
The suggestion that other couries give to experts is much more attractive. There is also no admirable demand in Iran to give a proposed specialist force to stay in Iran for years. In terms of income, iellectual security, and so on, there is no positive outlook.
Even in universities in the Persian Gulf, such as the UAE, hardware and processing capacities are available to studes, we do not have the capacity in Iran. Well, this closes the hands and feet of scholars and ierested people and no great thing is done. I have always believed that a good way to improve Iran’s conditions is to define large projects that overflow of projects can be poured io industry and university and that the private sector also matures.
It is no longer useful to assign a building to an artificial ielligence organization. It is useless when you do something late. It had to be done 10 years ago to give this area.
