Moscow’s anger of Baku’s policy; The Republic of Azerbaijan goes to Western coalitions – Mehr News Agency | Iranian and world news

Mehr News Agency, International Group – December of MahdanA: Recent tensions between Russia and the Republic of Azerbaijan have taken more serious stages, and as these tensions continue, relations between the two countries will lead to the end of diplomatic relations.

In the operation last week, Russian police against Azerbaijanis in the city YektrinburgThe two people were killed and a number of others were arrested, Baku’s sharp reaction. Following the incident, cultural programs and official trips were canceled. Azerbaijani officials have also arrested about 5 Russian citizens in the country.

Professor ‘Deniz First Kainak»University President Advisor Scudar And a professor of political science and relationships between International In Türkiye and a member of the Oxford University Research Center, in a conversation with a Turkish site (Istanbul), he has evaluated the recent tensions between Moscow and Baku. The details of the conversation takes place:

What does tension between Russia and the Republic of Azerbaijan mean?

The tension between the two countries was clearly evident in December when a Azerbaijani airline aircraft was overthrown by a Russian missile and relations between Russia and Azerbaijan were severely stunned. But the arrest of almost two Azerbaijani citizens and the suspected death of two of these detainees Yektrinburg Last week, it practically exacerbated this tension. The Azerbaijani retaliatory invasion of the Sputnik office, the arrest of reporters and the closure of Russian cultural centers indicates that relations are moving towards a critical point.

The background of this severe rupture is not merely due to a set of diplomatic mistakes or hasty reactions. In fact, the issue is much deeper and more strategic. Azerbaijan has long sought to create new security routes and new coalitions to get out of the shadow of Moscow and get closer to the Western system.

What is the reason for the importance of the Republic of Azerbaijan to new coalitions and diplomatic turn from Russia?

By increasing the importance and activity of governments in the field InternationalThe challenges are equally increasing. Now, instead of the classic concept of Multilateralism, we are talking about “multilateralism”. In other words, states instead of Unions Based on large and fixed blocks, they seek to form small coalitions, focusing on specific topics, with limited and practical scope.

Baku seems to be looking for opportunities and intends to consolidate itself in a new path between India, Israel, the Persian Gulf and the United States. Although this is not an official treaty, it provides the ground for a practical alliance.

Why in recent decades governments are looking for different coalitions in smaller dimensions?

“Alliances are like morning dew; Which disappear with the first sun rays. ” And he was right. The unity between governments, both temporary or institutionalized, is formed on the basis of interests, and the moment when these interests are not in harmony, many of the political relations known as friendship and brotherhood are abandoned.

The reason is that governments prioritize their national interests over the general goals of the coalitions. When there are changes in the balance of global power, we will see major changes to the coalitions. For example, when a new actor appears internationally with the ability to play a higher role, governments are moving towards a coalition with the actor to serve their national interests. A state may also be separated from the coalition in the national interest in national interests.

Events such as the current membership of some of the former members of the Warsaw Treaty in NATO, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization’s ability to attract rival countries and withdraw Britain from the European Union are all examples of these dynamic changes in coalitions. History is full of such changes.

Former members of the Soviet Union are taking different paths today. In recent years, some member states of the former Soviet Union have been merging into the Western system and have joined NATO. Some of these governments pay a heavy price because of their coalition with Russia, such as Georgia and Ukraine. Currently, we are witnessing an increase in tensions between Azerbaijan and Russia, and it seems that the situation may be intensified.

How does Russia see Baku’s policy of turning the west?

It is clear that Russia will not tolerate a country that joins an alternative path across its borders (the borders of the Soviet Union) and moves towards the coalition with Western countries. It seems that Russia, similar to Georgia and Ukraine, does not seek to control the Republic of Azerbaijan by force; The type of Russian behavior shows that it is not willing to be an enemy at the moment and does not want to deal with Azerbaijan like Georgia and Ukraine.

Let us not forget that the Iran -Israel war has made the importance of access to energy. The emergence of the Republic of Azerbaijan as an important actor in the supply of European gas could destroy one of Russia’s most effective leverage against the West. Also, the commercial corridor war is of particular importance. Offer an alternative path through the corridor ZangarInstead of Armenia and Türkiye, Azerbaijan puts Azerbaijan in a different foreign policy game. Therefore, the most important thing is that Baku, given its geopolitical position, may arouse Moscow’s anger in the future and even create the possibility of a new crisis similar to the Ukrainian crisis.