The future of the Zionist regime in the shadow of domestic and foreign crises – Mehr News Agency | Iranian and world news

Mehr News Agency, International Group: Important European Thoughts have had significant analysis of the future of the Zionist regime over the years 1 to 2, focusing on political, security, economic and international relations. They are.

Using future research methods, including the identification of trends, uncertainty, poor signals and scenario, this study extracts insights on the political, security, economic, and international relations of the Zionist regime.

The findings show the challenges arising from the Palestinian -resolved disputes, the extremist tendency, European human rights pressures, and complex relations with Russia. The four possible scenarios (including: continuity of status, reform, isolation and conflict, and unexpected transformation) are drawn and seven key insights are provided that emphasize the need for flexible diplomacy, interaction with civil society, and technology exploitation. This analysis is used for policymakers, researchers, and stakeholders to predict and manage future Israeli regime.

Futurizing as a discipline for identifying and analyzing possible future, trends, uncertainties, and possible scenarios, provides a powerful tool for understanding future paths. The Israeli regime, as an illegitimate actor in West Asia, faces complex challenges in the political, security, economic, and international areas. Studies of European Thoughts (1-8) provide valuable views on these challenges, especially given Europe’s role in global diplomacy and commitment to international law. Sast . The strategic benefited. This report aims to analyze these studies; The trends identifies weak states and signals and offers scenarios and insights for the future of the Zionist regime by year 2. The goal is to provide strategic recommendations for managing the challenges ahead and understanding the stability and instability of the Israeli regime in a dynamic region.

Methodology

This study uses future qualitative methods, including process analysis, identification of uncertainty, poor signals, and scenario. Data are extracted from European thought reports (IAI, ECFR, SWP, and Chatham House) over a period of 1 to 2, through Searches Targeting were identified on the websites of publications and public resources. Supplementary sources, including news reports (Reuters) and Human Rights Watch, were used to cover developments until April 1. The analysis was performed in three stages:

A: Identify key themes (political, security, economic, international relations), B.: Extraction of trends, uncertainty, and weak signals, and C.: Developing future scenarios and insights. To ensure comprehensiveness, the interactions of the trends and aspects of the ignored (such as civil society, technology, and demographics) were also examined.

Results

1. Key trends

Trends to extreme right in politics: The emergence of extremist right governments with the policies of settlement and resistance to Palestinian autonomy has led to domestic bipolarization and international criticism.

Security Control over Gaza and West Bank: The Israeli regime has maintained security control without government responsibilities, which increases the risk of regional tensions.

EU Pressure Human Rights: The European Union and civil society organizations have called for human rights abuses, including war crimes and apartheids.

Strengthening relations with Russia: Strategic relations with Russia have been strengthened and may expand under certain conditions (such as the Trump administration).

Civil Society Empowerment: Public discontent in Zionist society and the pressures of European civil society (such as sanctions campaigns) are emerging factors.

Population changes: The population of settlements and Palestinians in the occupied regions can exacerbate domestic and regional tensions.

2. Lack of states

US Policies: The approach of future US governments towards the Middle East will be effective.

Regional reactions: The response of other countries (Iran, Türkiye, the Gulf states) to Israeli policies can create cooperation or conflict.

EU position: The level of EU pressure on boycotting or suspending agreements depends on the consensus of the member states.

Population Dynamics: The impact of demographic change on policies and stability is unclear.

World Events: Changes in world order, such as economic crises or the competition of the great powers, can affect the Zionist regime’s position.

1. Poor signals

Contemporary with Vicharade: Countries support Visherade (Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia) of the Israeli regime can create gaps in EU policy.

“Middle East Riviera”: Gaza’s unusual proposal as a tourism center is a sign of creative or unexpected ideas.

Civil Society Activities: Sanctions and pressures of nongovernmental organizations are a sign of change in global norms to accountability.

1. Future scenarios (up to 1)

By combining trends, lack of states, and weak signals, four possible scenarios are drawn:

Continuing the status quo

The Israeli regime continues to have extremist right policies and security control of Gaza. Relations with the European Union remain unpopular but without widespread sanctions. Relations with Russia are strengthened, but regional instability continues.

Stimulant Factors: The continuation of the current leadership, the limited US support, and the lack of consensus in the European Union.

Consequences: Continuous tensions, gradual decline in international support.

Reforms and cooperation

Stimulant Factors: Internal pressures, EU diplomacy, and regional support.

Isolation and conflict

Strict policies and lack of response to human rights pressures lead to EU sanctions and reduced US support. Tensions with Iran and Türkiye are intensified and relations with Russia are weakened.

Stimulant Factors: International criticism, changes in US policy, and regional reactions.

Consequences: Diplomatic isolation, regional conflicts, and economic challenges.

An unexpected transformation

An unexpected event, such as a regional diplomatic agreement or the global crisis (such as recession), changes the policies of the Israeli regime. This can lead to peace or intensification of conflict.

Stimulant Factors: Diplomatic advances, the pressures of civil society, or the changes of world order.

Consequences: Reconstruction of regional relations or severe instability, depending on crisis management.

Conclusion

Futuristic analysis reflects a complex future for the Israeli regime formed by the Palestinian conflict, international relations, and domestic and global dynamics. The Palestinian conflict is the biggest obstacle to stability, which seems to be exacerbated by current policies associated with regional instability and international criticism. Relations with the European Union and Russia as key factors are prominent with multiple interactions that increase complexity. Civil society, technology, and demographic change as emerging forces can lead policies to reform or conflict.

Futuristic insights

The impact of Palestinian conflict on long -term stability

The unsolved Palestinian dispute increases the risk of internal and regional instability. Significant negotiations or creative solutions (such as confederation models) can reduce international pressure.

The central role of relations with Europe

European human rights pressures can lead to diplomatic or commercial constraints. Come with Visherade It temporarily reduces tensions, but it makes balanced diplomacy more necessary for the Zionist regime than ever before.

Saeed Ghaffari; West Asian Research Researcher