Why has American behavior changed? – Mehr News Agency Iranian and world news
Mehr News Agency, Policy Group: Mehdi Afraz, a political analyst and activist, a dedicated note entitled “Why Has American Behavior changed?” For the group Politics Mehr News Agency has sent the text as follows:
The new chapter of nuclear talks has become a chance to emerge in US arrogant behavior. In appearance, developments are pretended to be Board The American is bypassing Israel, Trump, contrary to his initial demand, has been accepted in an indirect way, at Iran’s request from its strategic comrade to mediate, Iran’s standards for media inactivity When It observes negotiation, the literature and equality, the provisions of the talks Entrance to There are no missile and regional topics, and so on, this behavior Measurement And comparing it with the previous chapters of the negotiations indicates a situation that makes Trump’s America an urgent agreement with Volvo Accept Iran’s prerequisites and red lines show.
Naturally with A question Let’s face this change of real behavior and indicate a change in US relations with the Islamic Republic? If so, it is necessary to The wise Revolutionary in pessimistic approaches and Moderate Review the removal of hostility through dialogue and abandon its predictions from past experiences and abandon their predictions. Based Today’s facts do not miss the loss of this historic opportunity. To verify this change is appropriate rather than possible scenarios that for Understanding The will of America is to review:
The first scenario; Points in domestic competition
Trump after failing Successively In fulfilling his promises In terms of The interior is in a situation that desperately requires an achievement before the congressional election against the official stream of power and the deep layer of American governance. Hand Have superiority; Therefore, it abandons all the past considerations and interactive protocols with Iran and only strives to achieve a political victory. Accordingly It has been And following a possible agreement of news from Opening There will be no economy for Iran.
The second scenario; Trump’s empty hand
The US regional hegemony has had a significant decline in the new period, and the deepening of disputes with the European Union and the willingness of the Gulf states to reach an agreement has led the Trump team to not have many leaves for pressure and play against Iran. Sanctions Data And, contrary to all the pressures and punishments in recent months, Number Iran’s oil sales have not changed significantly. All of these conditions have made the United States in a position to be able to enter the negotiations from the stance of the negotiations, so he is willing to be serious about Iran’s conditions while taking the agreement seriously.
The third scenario; Iran’s exit from priority
Trump’s main issue is the revival of the American polarity in the world, compensating for business deficits and violent economic, technological and geopolitical conflict with China, so he seeks to calm down the stress situation in the Middle East to concentrate on his main struggle by integrating his capacities. Iran does not have a political priority in the current US period. All the former tensions between Iran and the United States will be frozen only for a while.
The fourth scenario; The third side of the chaos
The United States is playing the role of playing Iran to negotiate, conditioning public perception, reducing the turbulence in the Iranian market, and then creating tensions in the final process of agreeing and accusing the leadership of the revolution to prevent an agreement to provide the first basis for internal turmoil, and along with the other two sides of the Islamic Republic, and the public attack. The deceitful American is to make hope in the men of the Islamic Republic and encourage them to ignore the former disruptions.
Fifth scenario; Management of Iran Behavior
The storm of al -Aqsa and the subsequent events made it difficult for Iran’s regional dynamics. The multilateral influence along with the widespread military output has made the United States an unbearable situation. In the current situation, a strong and direct confrontation with Tehran leads to an increase in internal consensus and disruption of designs for Iran’s internal crises, so the United States seeks to contain Iran and manage its behavior, by drawing it into the land of interacting with itself and tied the Iranian will to the fate of an agreement that is supposed to have a nuclear and non -security text.
Time will reveal Washington’s will, but in a situation where there are serious doubts about this motivation and goals, the historical necessity and lesson will be understood, while taking advantage of possible opportunities, to make our readiness to deal with the most pessimistic scenarios at the highest level.
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