If the elections were held today, the ruling British Labor Party would lose up to 200 seats
The Times newspaper, citing research conducted by the More in Common think tank, reported that the British Labor Party, which won the British elections in the summer, would lose almost 200 seats in the parliament and its absolute majority if the elections were held today.
According to Isna, according to this think tank, out of the 411 seats that the Labor Party won in the summer elections, 87 seats went to the Conservatives, 67 seats to the right-wing populist party “British Reform” led by Nigel Farage, and 26 seats to the “Party The Scottish National Party (SNP) hands over.
If the election were held today, the traditional Labor constituencies won back from the Conservatives in the summer would be almost entirely lost. The biggest winner was Reform UK, which currently holds just five seats.
The Times writes that analyzes by the More in Common think tank show that the Labor Party would have won 228 seats, the Conservatives would have won 222 seats, and the Reforms would have won 72 seats. Thus, Farage’s Reform Party would be the third largest party in the UK in terms of authority and the Conservatives would be the second largest. Accordingly, Labor retains first place, but without the ability to form a government on its own, as this would require an absolute majority of 326 seats out of a total of 650 members.
Also, if the elections were held in the UK today, the Labor Party would win 26%, the Conservative Party 25%, the British Reforms 21% and the Liberal Democrats 14%. Greens, SNP and other parties will have 8, 2 and 3 percent respectively. The research also shows that seven current government ministers will lose their constituencies, six of them to UK Reform candidates. The six are Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rainer, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, Defense Secretary John Healy, Energy Secretary Edward Miliband, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson and Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds. Health Secretary Wesley Streeting will also lose to an independent candidate.
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