NBC News: The competition between Trump and Harris is shoulder to shoulder

According to Isna, there are only 2 days left until the 2024 US presidential election, and the American opinion polls are trying to predict the outcome of the US presidential election by publishing their latest polls.

In this regard, the American channel “NBC News” in its last poll before the American presidential election, which was published on Sunday evening, showed a tight competition between Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris and former American President Donald Trump and Republican Party candidate. reported

According to the NBC News poll, both candidates received 49% of the votes of the likely voters.

This American network has identified Harris’s strength in the presidential election as the issue of “abortion” and Trump’s strengths as “successful presidential experience” and his success in managing the American economy.

According to NBC News, 60% of Americans believe that regardless of the outcome of the election, the country will “remain divided and polarized.”

This American network continued to report: “Regarding the determination of the fate of each election by the ability of each political party to attract its supporters to the ballot box, if the Democratic Party succeeds in attracting its supporters, Trump will win 50% of the vote, a difference of 2% in The election will be won.”

On the other hand, NBC News repeated the same conditions for the Democratic Party and wrote: “If the Democratic Party succeeds in attracting its supporters and bringing them to the polls, Harris will win by winning 50% of the vote and a margin of three percentage points over Trump.”

According to this network, all the mentioned results are in the range of the possible error of the said survey.

“Electoral College” and the influence of key states on American elections

Considering the equal position of Harris and Trump at the national level, it should be noted that one of the important points in the US election competition is that the elected president may not win the highest number of popular votes in the country because after the vote of the American people, these states and The “Electoral College” system is the one that announces the final winner, but this system has its own mechanism and the president will be determined according to its counting.

The word “college” refers to the people who are responsible for voting by the states, and they are called “electors”. It should be noted that this system is only used to elect the president, but the results of other American elections are determined by direct voting of the people.

America has 50 states, and each of them, which separately determines the fate of the elected president, has a certain number of electoral votes, and various factors, including the public, have determined this amount of electoral votes for the states.

In general, there are 538 electoral votes in the United States, and among them, the state of California, which is a Democrat (blue), has the most electoral votes, which is 54, and the states of North Dakota, South Dakota, Alaska, Delaware, Vermont and Wyoming have The minimum number of electoral votes is three numbers each.

In this regard, NBC News also wrote in the continuation of its report that regardless of the number of votes for the candidates at the national level, the fate of the US presidential election will depend on key states, known as battleground states.

Women and men against each other

On the other hand, this American network reported that in this election, American men and women are standing against each other. Thus, Harris has the support of 57% of American women with a difference of 16% and Trump has the support of 58% of American men with a difference of 18%.

According to NBC News, Harris leads Trump by a 20 percent margin on the issue of civil rights and the issue of abortion. But Trump is ahead of his Democratic rival in the field of American economy and inflation management, which is one of the most important concerns of American citizens in the current election.

On the other hand, Trump’s strengths are not limited to the economic field; With a difference of 25% in the field of border control and management of illegal immigrants, he has more support among American voters.

Despite the very different strengths of the two candidates, American voters ranked Harris and Trump on an equal footing when asked which candidate is a “better agent for change.”

Biden; The reason for the unpopularity of the Democrats

According to NBC News, US President Joe Biden, despite withdrawing from the presidential race in July, has reduced the popularity of the Democrats due to his performance. Thus, 58 percent of Americans have declared that they are not satisfied with Biden’s performance.

In this regard, many American voters are worried about the repetition of “Biden’s second administration” if Harris wins, and this issue has led to the improvement of Trump’s position.

The US presidential election will be held on November 5. So far, half of American citizens have participated in early voting and cast their ballots, according to NBC News, early voting results show a 7 percent lead for Harris. Of course, this American network emphasized that due to the polls and the continuation of the early voting period and the final voting day, it is impossible to predict the outcome of the election.

At the end of its analysis, this American network reiterated that regardless of the outcome of the election, 60% of Americans are not satisfied with the situation and believe that this country will remain divided.

In addition to the NBC News survey, the Ipsos Institute and ABC News also announced in their survey that 60% of Americans do not accept Trump and Harris as their candidates and are not satisfied with them, and both the 2 candidates for the presidency of the United States are not popular. and unpopularity are equal.

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