confrontation or agreement; The challenge of the Eastern Alliance for American foreign policy

According to RCO News Agency, the American media reported that regardless of the outcome of the US presidential election, cooperation between China and Russia can impose strategic choices on Western countries.

The Wall Street Journal reports: “The military and industrial base of the West is declining, and voters are unwilling to increase the military budget. In this situation, can America and its allies restrain all these rivals, including Iran and North Korea?”

The American media reported that the world’s many crises are intertwined, and if the United States does not have the ability to deter several powerful rivals at the same time, it must agree with one of these powers and make concessions.

Crises such as the tension in West Asia, the war in Ukraine, China’s maritime disputes with the Philippines and Taiwan, as well as North Korea’s “threat” against South Korea, are crises that cannot be managed simultaneously, and according to an American national security official in the Donald Trump administration, this Crises have put the United States under pressure.

The United States and European countries have ramped up military production and built new munitions factories since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, but these measures are still far from sufficient for the needs of modern warfare.

According to the American media, Jack Kane, the former deputy chief of staff of the United States Army, says: “We are currently engaged in two wars and we are trying to provide the necessary ammunition and equipment to our allies. “If we get involved in a world war, we will face significant challenges against our enemies and their capabilities.”

Despite the acknowledgment by former American officials and analysts of the country’s inability to manage large and new conflicts, the Pentagon believes that it is ready to face all scenarios, including a conflict with China.

However, some figures in the Republican Party, including Donald Trump’s vice president and campaign partner JD Vance, have called for a focus on East Asia and cited America’s inability to produce enough ammunition as a reason for abandoning Ukraine and reducing security commitments to Europe.

According to the Wall Street Journal, one of the approaches that Trump’s close circle has in mind is to carry out a plan contrary to the plan of “Henry Kissinger” the foreign minister and the former national security adviser of the United States. During his tenure, he strengthened Washington’s relationship with Beijing to keep China away from the Soviet Union. Now Trump’s advisors are considering the option of attracting Russian President Vladimir Putin to prevent the strengthening of relations between Beijing and Moscow.

Analysts believe that this plan can cost the security of Europe and Ukraine and establish a new security architecture in Europe. However, many Republicans, as well as officials in the current Democratic administration of the United States, have described this idea as a crazy fantasy.

They say that the United States, with its full support for Ukraine in its war with Russia, cannot expect Moscow-Washington relations to warm or even return to pre-war conditions.

Some Republicans, such as Mike Pompeo, have also called for the tightening of sanctions against Russia, a significant increase in military support for Ukraine, and maintaining strong pressure on China, North Korea, and Iran. However, it is not clear what changes will happen in the US foreign policy with Trump taking office.

Kamala Harris, however, stated that she did not intend to change these policies and will follow the policies pursued by the Biden administration, i.e. the return of American troops to the eastern flank of Europe, supplying weapons to Ukraine and creating new alliances in Asia.

However, the possibility of Trump’s victory in the elections and his unpredictable personality have caused European countries to make difficult choices, such as increasing investment in military fields, which seemed inevitable after the start of the war in Ukraine.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the priorities of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea in their regions do not always overlap, but these countries have increasingly cooperated in the diplomatic, intelligence, and military fields, and consider the removal of the United States from the position of the world’s top power as a fundamental priority.

Some Biden administration officials and Democratic Party leaders have warned that any attempt to drive a wedge between Russia and China by sacrificing Ukraine and European security could jeopardize America’s most important foreign policy asset, Washington’s vast network of global alliances. Abandoning Ukraine and making an agreement with Russia can make Washington’s allies wonder how much they can count on the support and security umbrella of the United States.

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