Harris’ significa lead over Trump in early voter polls
Polls have shown that Kamala Harris has a significa advaage over Donald Trump among the Americans who, according to themselves, have participated in the early voting of their coury’s presideial elections.
According to RCO News Agency, several companies including “ABC News/Ipsos”, “New York Times/Sienna College” and “CNN” conducted surveys asking respondes who ideified themselves as participas in early voting for the 2024 US presideial election. and these polls have shown a range of advaages from 19 to 29 perce for Kamala Harris, the Democratic Party’s presideial candidate, over Donald Trump, her Republican rival.
These advaages are even more than the advaages that were registered in the polls in the days before the 2016 presideial election for “Hillary Clion”, the then Democratic presideial candidate, over “Donald Trump”, the Republican candidate in that election; They showed a range of 8 to 16 perce superiority for Clion.
In polls in late 2020, when Democrats welcomed mail-in voting, then-Democratic presideial candidate Joe Biden showed a larger advaage, while earlier Donald Trump opposed mail-in voting for the 2020 election, and his supporters He asked them not to participate in this form of voting.
The latest polls ahead of Tuesday’s US election show Harris with a significa lead in key states where the two major parties are evenly matched and hard to predict.
Polls from Marist, CNN, Fox News and USA Today-Suffolk University show Kamala Harris leading among early voters in the key states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. is
The only lead recorded for Donald Trump among this group of voters in key states came from a CNN poll in Nevada, which showed Trump leading by 6 perceage pois.
According to the “Telegraph” newspaper, although Trump opposed holding early and postal voting four years ago, claiming that it was vulnerable to fraud and manipulation, this time, he and the Republicans changed their approach and encouraged their supporters to vote. before the final stage on Tuesday.
At the same time, Republicans and Trump supporters are excited to see the increase in the level of their supporters in early voting, as Elon Musk, the billionaire erepreneur who supports Trump, said: Trump is moving towards a landslide victory. does
Musk argued that the number of participas in Pennsylvania mail-in ballots for the 2024 election so far, and comparing it with the number of participas in this type of voting at the same time in the 2020 election, shows that 32 perce of early voters are now Republican, while in 2020 it is The rate was 21%.
According to the Telegraph’s analysis, given the greater encourageme of the Democrats to participate in the early voting and not leave the work to the final day, more votes are registered for them mainly in the early stage.
Also, the group of American women voters has already shown more favor to Kamala Harris to become the first female preside of the United States, and so far they have participated in early voting in higher numbers than male voters.
Surveys by the Ceer known as the “Laboratory of Elections” affiliated with the University of Florida have shown that among the 60 million voters who participated in the early stage of the 2024 US elections, 54% were women.
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Harris has a 12 perce lead over Trump among female voters in October.
On the other hand, experts have warned that the data related to the early voting stage should not be ierpreted in an extreme way, because the statistical samples of those who say that they have participated in the early stage so far have a higher error rate.
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