Zangzor and Iran’s approach; What is the wisest solution? – Mehr News agency RCO News Agency
Mehr News Agency, Bin Group the international: After the defeat of Yerevan in the 44-day Nagorno-Karabakh war and the signing of the peace agreement between Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan with the mediation of Moscow, whispers about connecting the territory of the Republic of Azerbaijan to Nakhchivan are heard more than before. Elham Aliyev and Rajab Tayyab Erdogan by defining common interests in creating corridors Zangzor They plan to go through the land-rail route in the province Cyonic Armenia, for the first time, connected the Turkish world and practically provided the ground for the activity of the “Middle Corridor” and the connection between China and the European Union. The realization of such a plan is practically in conflict with the national interests of Russia-Iran because it causes these two big countries to be removed from the future transit routes and at the same time directly connecting Iran to European soil due to the creation of a corridor. Zangzor be cut off Despite the obviousness of such geopolitical danger, after Putin’s visit to Baku and his meeting with Ilham Aliyev, Russia seems ready to manage this imminent “danger”. Occurrence He made a miscalculation and plans to agree to connect the “Turkish world” with each other!
Moscow’s lack of adherence to protecting the security and territorial integrity of Yerevan on the one hand, and on the other hand, the poor performance of Russian peacekeepers at the Lachin crossing and the introduction of pressure living Heavy to the Armenian residents of this area caused Nikol Pashinyan Also, adjust its security-military policies with western countries, especially America, France and India, more than in the past. The holding of the “Eagle Partner 2023” military exercise, the development of defense relations with France, and at the same time the 86% reduction in military relations with Moscow shows that Armenians do not trust “Big Brother” as in the past and intend to protect independence, integrity Don’t put all your “eggs” in the basket of one superpower! In response to politics Westernized Pashinyan 24 hours a day, the Russian media instills this message to its citizens that Armenia has also stepped on the path of Ukraine and will inevitably suffer the fate of this country! Some analysts believe that due to the high speed of development of relations between Yerevan and Western countries, the Russians intend to preempt and by agreeing to form a corridor Zangzorto provide the necessary ground to restrain the behavior of the Turks and Erdogan’s future plans in the South Caucasus.
After Putin’s visit to Baku, Sergey Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, in an interview with Russian TV Channel One, demanded to remove the blockage of communications between the Republic of Azerbaijan-Armenia-Nakhchivan. It is noteworthy that Lavrov pointed the finger of accusation towards Pashinyan He points out and claims that the leadership of Armenia is obstructing the implementation of clause 9 of the 2020 peace agreement! Recently, Maria Zakharova The spokesperson of the Russian diplomatic system also stated that his country’s position regarding the formation of the corridor is definite Zangzor had emphasized Making such statements caused Mr. Mojtabi Demirchilu The Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs and Director General of Eurasia of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs called the Russian ambassador and once again reminded him of Iran’s position regarding the non-change of borders and geopolitics of the South Caucasus region. At the same time, Iran’s ambassador in Moscow also announced his protest to the Kremlin. In addition to these cases, it may be necessary to make it clear to the Russian side that the old NATO ally cannot be a “safe” and “stable” path to bypass Western sanctions. too late The Turks will separate their path from Moscow. If this scenario is realized, Russia will be in action and will be forced to use expensive military tools to block this path again!
On the eve of the signing of the strategic agreement between Tehran and Moscow, such statements by the Russian authorities are undoubtedly against the interests of the two countries and can endanger the prospect of signing and implementing such an agreement! During the last three years, the main focus of the Russian government and army was on the Ukrainian front, and they planned to punish Ki Yin front to open take NATO’s foot on the European borders. During this period, the Islamic Republic of Iran, as a “revisionist” actor in the international system and opposed to the presence of the West in its northern borders, has repeatedly opposed the formation of NATO’s Turani Corridor and has sent a message to the Azeri side by holding numerous military exercises. If there is a change in the border lines between Iran and Armenia, Tehran will defend its national interests with all its might. Now, in a situation where the level of tension between Tehran and Tel Aviv in the Eastern Arab region has increased significantly, it seems that regional and extra-regional actors intend to take advantage of this situation and change the international borders in this region. Perhaps it is necessary to remind the players active in the South Caucasus equations that the Islamic Republic of Iran is able to focus on several different fronts and if necessary, will take the necessary measures to maintain regional peace and security.
Two years ago, during the meeting of the leaders of Iran, Russia and Turkey in Tehran, the Supreme Leader pointed to the current tensions between Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan in the South Caucasus region and explicitly opposed the change of historical-international borders. According to the advice of His Highness crush Moscow and Ankara should know that only a corridor will be allowed to operate in the South Caucasus region that keeps Tehran’s three “red lines” in mind. First, the sovereignty of the corridor Zangzor in the province Cyonic Armenia should be with Armenian forces and there should be no change in the status of international borders. Second, the interests of Tehran should be taken into account in any new communication route, and finally, the Islamic Republic of Iran will not allow the US, the Zionist regime, or NATO to open its northern borders under the pretext of developing communication routes.
What policy does Tehran follow?
Monitoring and re-examining the positions of political officials of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the past few years shows that there is complete unity of opinion and coherence among all the officials and no change or retreat is observed. The Islamic Republic of Iran, in a conversation with the authorities of Russia, Armenia, the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Republic of Turkey, openly and without hesitation, repeated its rightful position and declared that the border connection between Iran and Armenia is one of the country’s geopolitical advantages and a way to The side of Georgia, the Black Sea and Europe is of vital importance and cannot be bypassed in any way. The importance of this strategic position is so deep that the internal changes and developments of the countries and the surrounding trends do not leave an impact on the origin of Iran. In other words; Iran, regardless of the nature of the political competition between regional and extra-regional powers and regardless of the attitude of Yerevan’s internal politics, follows the approach of preventing geopolitical change and does not allow the existing order to change.
In the logic of Iran’s dynamic and wise diplomacy, the country’s political-security and economic relations with each of the important actors in this case, i.e. Russia, Turkey, Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan, continue at different levels, and not only that none of these relations are supposed to be a victim. become another relationship, but in the macro view and strategic approach, what is important is to preserve the national and historical interests by confronting the overt and covert efforts that are underway to disrupt the regional order, but under no circumstances; They cannot influence Iran’s will.
benefit of speech
Failure to pay attention to the mentioned red lines can cause serious changes in Iran’s foreign policy. Brahmin The basis is recommended to Russia instead of hastily agreeing to the formation of the corridor Zangzor And the Baku-Ankara plan in the region, called for holding regular 3+3 meetings (Iran, Turkey and Russia with Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia) and not allowing the borders of peace and friendship to become a place of tension and security crisis. Only when removing the blockage of the communication routes in the South Caucasus is a reality available when the interests and security considerations of all actors are taken into account and the Western powers cannot strain the relations between the neighboring countries under different guises.
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