The prospect of American relations with Europe and NATO is darker than ever

According to RCO News Agency, the recely published “US National Security Strategy 2025” docume reflects a fundameal change in America’s view of its role in the world; A change that is based on a deep critique of post-Cold War policies and tries to draw a cohere, prioritized and national power-based framework for the coming decades.

Poiing out that past strategies have been overly ambitious, ierveionist, and unfocused, this docume argues that the United States should move away from “running the world” and focus on “protecting its vital ierests” by relying on economic, industrial, and military power.

At the conceptual level, the docume highlights three main axes: first, redefining the national ierest around iernal security, rebuilding the economy, corolling immigration, protecting infrastructure, and strengthening deterrence.

The second axis is the reform of the power infrastructure from economy and energy to technology and military force as a means of achieving the goals and the third axis is the readjustme of foreign policy based on principles such as focusing on vital ierests, non-ierveionism, flexible realism, etc.

This framework shows that the US governme believes that national power and iernal security are the basis of any effective role in the iernational system.

From a regional poi of view, the docume makes a kind of strict prioritization. In the Americas, the implemeation of a new version of the Monroe Doctrine is proposed to deal with the influence of extra-regional actors and to corol immigration and organized crime. In Asia, competition with China is still the main axis; A competition that is both economic and technological and based on military deterrence, especially around the Taiwan Strait and the western Pacific island chain.

In the case of Europe, the docume emphasizes the “revival of ideity and civilizational self-confidence” and at the same time calls for an increase in Europe’s coribution to its security.

In the US National Security Strategy docume published by US Preside Donald Trump’s administration, Europe is described as a coine in “civilizational decline”.

This docume, which emphasizes the “America First” philosophy, sees Europe not only economically and militarily weak, but also places it on the verge of “civilizational extinction”.

The docume notes that Europe’s share of global GDP has fallen from 25% in 1990 to 14% today, and attributes this to national and transnational regulations such as the European Union. It also warns that within a few decades, some NATO members will become a “non-European majority”, which will call io question the sustainability of the alliance with the US.

The docume accuses Europe of “distorting democratic processes,” including suppressing far-right parties to maiain support for Ukraine.

The American national security docume also describes the European Union as “ai-democratic” and the cause of weakening national sovereigy, and condemns European governmes for “unrealistic expectations” about the victory in the Ukraine war and suppression of freedom of expression, such as restrictions on opposition media.

The docume calls a quick end to the conflict in Ukraine a “vital ierest” of the United States, and the goal is to “restore strategic stability with Russia.”

In this docume, the US promises active diplomacy to manage Europe-Russia relations, but emphasizes “reducing military presence” in Europe and shifting focus to the Western Hemisphere, such as the fight against drug cartels.

According to this docume, Europe should take primary responsibility for its own defense and the US should focus on opening European markets to American goods.

Regarding the Middle East, this docume shows that this region is no longer the main focus of American foreign policy and has been replaced by economic cooperation, energy and regional agreemes.

In the case of Africa, America is trying to move away from the traditional aid model and move relations towards trade, investme and geo-economic competition.

In general, the iroduction of this docume shows that America is transitioning from a period of “scattered global ambition” to a period of “focused, competitive strategy based on strengthening domestic power bases”; An approach that aims to preve the erosion of national power and create capacity for sustainable competition against the big players of the 21st ceury.

In the coming years, America will try to deploy its military forces in the Western Hemisphere

“Mohammad Ali Shafi’i”, an expert on American issues, said in connection with the American national security docume that was published in rece days: “This docume shows us that America’s view of the Western Hemisphere has increased with some difference from the Monroe Doctrine.” Accordingly, in the coming years, the United States will try to reduce its military forces, especially in Europe, and deploy them in the Western Hemisphere, as we are now witnessing in Venezuela and the Caribbean region.

He stated that “based on this policy, the military, political and economic pressures of the US governme and couries that do not have direct cooperation with the US and are not aligned with Washington will increase, in this connection we can meion couries such as Colombia, Mexico and even Brazil”, he coinued: Based on this docume, the US will try to reduce China’s presence in the Western Hemisphere as much as possible, like the action it took in the Panama region and pressured Chinese companies to leave the Panama region. It is likely to do this policy in other couries of the Western Hemisphere as well, in order to increase the influence of the United States.

From Trump’s poi of view, the issues in the West Asian region have been resolved

Referring to the way this docume looks at West Asia, this American expert said: According to Trump’s view, Iran’s regional influence has decreased, and in fact, from his poi of view, issues in the West Asian region have been resolved, as in this regard, Lebanon is now under corol, Syria is moving in line with the policies of the United States and the Zionist regime, and Iran is also weakened.

Shafi’i also stated that “America does not have much problem with other couries in the region in West Asia”, and said: “In the case of Iraq, it is also trying to corol this coury through financial and economic means, so America has decided not to have a strong presence in the West Asia region and to increase the weight of the Zionist regime along with its Arab allies in this region.”

The importance of Europe and Ukraine for America has decreased

He also looked at the view of the United States in this docume in relation to the European region and added: According to this 33-page docume, the importance of Europe and Ukraine for the United States has decreased. Since 2010, the volume of economic relations between Europe and the United States has been decreasing, and since Trump took office, this issue has decreased significaly. On the other hand, the security and political cooperation between Europe and the United States will not be the same as before, and due to this issue, the NATO treaty will probably become a formal matter in which the United States is no longer decisive, and the Europeans, especially Western Europe, will be forced to move towards the formulation of a new security treaty.

Shafi’i coinued: From the poi of view of the Americans, Europe has an unrealistic idea of ​​Washington’s proposal to solve the Ukraine problem and that eveually they will be forced to accept this proposed proposal and close the Ukraine case.

Trump’s way of looking at China is differe from previous US presides

This expert on American issues also stated that “in this docume, there is not much meion of American policies related to the issue of China, although the nuclear issue of China has been repeated more than 20 times”, he said: In general, this docume has not focused much on East Asia and China, and this shows that Trump’s view of China is differe from that of previous American presides. Trump believes that in order to coain China in East Asia, the couries of this region should gain more weight, play a greater role, and America should also reduce its weight.

In this connection, Shafi’i poied out: For example, regarding the issue of Taiwan, Trump said that if China launches a military attack on this region, the United States will react harshly, while previously the Democratic Preside of the United States, Biden, had threatened that Washington would eer io a military conflict with Beijing.

He also stated that “one of the solutions that the US may take in relation to this issue is the discussion of imposing sanctions against Beijing”, he said: of course, on the other hand, due to the strong dependence of the economy of China and the US on each other, this is not easily possible, and just as Trump was forced to back down on the issue of tariffs, he cannot do much in relation to the imposition of sanctions. It does not exist with China.

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