Guardian analysts’ vision of the future of the region

According to Isna, the English media went to four analysts in an article and asked them to comment on the current situation of the region and the vision they envision for it. Stating that the crimes of the Zionist regime have weakened the world order and revealed its inequalities, these analysts emphasized that the Zionist attack on Lebanon is a fruitless gamble that destroyed the illusion of “Israeli democracy”.

Below are the statements of four analysts of the English newspaper Guardian:

There is only “insiders” in the American world order

“Fawaz Gregs” is a professor of international relations at the London School of Economics He says that the one-year war of the Zionist regime in Gaza, the violence of this regime against the Palestinians in the West Bank and its ever-increasing military campaign in Lebanon have led to a human disaster and increased the risk of a full-scale war in the region. On the other hand, the regime’s actions could ultimately lead to a major rift in international relations and accelerate the decline of the US-led liberal capitalist order.

According to this analyst, in the Second World War, when this world order was established, it seemed that an international human rights framework was achieved, which believes that leaders and governments should be held accountable for war crimes and crimes against humanity; But the widespread crimes of the Zionist regime, which are carried out with the full support of the United States, have shown that in this world order, not all governments are equally accountable.

Greggs says that the Al-Aqsa storm operation is in no way an acceptable justification for the killing of more than 40,000 Palestinians in Gaza, when even according to the most conservative statistics, there are more than 11,000 children among them.

According to this American-Lebanese analyst, the full-fledged defense of the United States against the brutal crimes of the Zionist regime once again proves that international laws apply only to the countries of the “Global South”, not to the United States and its allies. The report states: “Those who established this liberal international order value the lives of non-Westerners and Arabs less.”

Greggs warned that if this situation continues, not only will the decline of the global influence of the United States accelerate and China and Russia will become more powerful, but the concern of “Antonio Guterres” of the UN Secretary General may become a reality and the “immunity” of governments and leaders against Their actions become widespread in the world.

Netanyahu’s unsuccessful gamble in southern Lebanon

“Jason Burke”, international security correspondent of the Guardian newspaper Claiming that the Zionist regime will probably respond to Iran’s recent missile attack, he says that the region is caught in a cycle of increasing violence that may lead to a full-scale regional conflict and that no one can slow down or stop it.

This British analyst rules out an attack by the occupying regime on Iran’s nuclear facilities, because according to him such an attack requires the support of the United States, but the United States does not support this attack. However, the Zionists are involved in several fronts and the number of their casualties in the recent attack on Lebanon shows that they are in a difficult situation.

According to this analyst, Zionist policymakers and generals have regained their self-confidence to some extent and see an opportunity to make a major strategic change in the region, but this analyst says that such a change is unlikely to happen in Gaza. He says the Zionists entered Gaza to achieve unrealistic goals, goals set by political leaders. Now, according to this analyst, the deadlock in Gaza will be broken only with some kind of political change.

The illusion of “Israeli democracy” is gone

Orly Noy, journalist and editor of the Hebrew News magazine “Local Call” He says that he is still amazed by the amount of damage that the Zionist regime caused in Gaza under the pretext of retaliating against the Al-Aqsa storm operation, and he cannot believe the depth of this tragedy.

Referring to the Zionist regime’s claim that this regime is democratic, he says that in the past year, the genocide in Gaza has been normalized, while respecting the sanctity of life and the laws of war are only two of the basic principles of democracy. Principles that the Zionist regime has completely ignored and does not pay any attention to.

This analyst also points to another principle of democratic governments, namely the equality of individuals before the law. According to Orly Novi, the extremist Jews have completely destroyed the principle of equal citizenship, and the harassment of Arab citizens in the occupied territories, the brutal suppression of their protests, and their exclusion from public discussions have intensified the alienation between the two population groups, Jews and Arabs.

He says that a thick and toxic fog covers the occupied lands and with the beginning of a new front in Lebanon and also the possibility of a massive conflict with Iran, it is very difficult to predict what will happen after the war. But there is one thing for sure, and that is that the residents of occupied Palestine will become more extreme, more violent and more reckless, and even with Netanyahu’s departure from power, the legacy of destruction and hatred that he left will continue for years.

There is not enough pressure to compromise

Sanam Vakil, Director of West Asia and North Africa Program at Chatham House think tank He says that despite 9 months of negotiations with the mediation of Egypt, Qatar, and the United States, a lasting ceasefire has not been established in Gaza, and the Zionist negotiations with Hamas have not reached a conclusion due to Netanyahu’s excesses and existing differences. This analyst says that the parties do not feel much pressure to establish a ceasefire and have few incentives to change course. On the other hand, the expansion of the Zionist regime’s attacks on Lebanon, which was carried out with the aim of destroying Hezbollah, has increased the risk of a large-scale war on several fronts.

This analyst also pointed out that the Zionist regime entered Gaza after October 7 with the aim of destroying Hamas, but today we see that the Palestinian resistance movement is still active in Gaza. However, it is unlikely that Netanyahu will accept this fact and give concessions to Hamas, which can be true on this front as the war spreads to Lebanon.

Yahya al-Sanwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza, insists on a permanent ceasefire, increasing humanitarian aid and exchanging Zionist prisoners with Palestinian prisoners, but the demands of the occupying regime have complicated matters. The Zionists want to control the southern border of Gaza and refuse to sign an agreement that deals with the right of the Palestinian people to determine their own destiny.

In the end, pointing out that the Zionist regime repeats the same model of the Gaza war against Hezbollah and is facing the possibility of a wider regional conflict with Iran, this analyst believes that the US President Joe Biden’s administration should, regardless of the presidential elections of this country on November 15, Focus on the ceasefire negotiations.

end of message