the risk of intensifying the fire of war; Why did America cancel the missile restrictions on Ukraine? – Mehr news agency RCO News Agency

TheMehr News Agency, International Group: “Volodymyr ZelenskyDuring the war, the president of Ukraine always criticized the West’s reluctance to provide permission to use long-range weapons to attack deep into Russian territory and demanded that this permission be granted to attack airports, missile launchers and ammunition tanks, fuel depots and command centers. And Russia had become an important control.

Now, almost a thousand days have passed since the start of the war, reports indicate that Washington has authorized the use of missiles. Atkamz (ATACMS) has been exported by the USA to attack deep into Russian soil; Missiles with a range of 300 kilometers (190 miles).

Yesterday, the “New York Times” reported, citing informed American officials Biden The use of “missiles” by the Ukrainian armyAtkamz» Building America to attack deep into Russian territory, strengthen Kiev’s military positions in this conflict and increase Ukrainian forces’ control over the region. Kursk approved Russia and canceled all restrictions in this field.

The French newspaper “Figaro” also wrote in a report: Following the issuance of a license for Ukraine to use American long-range weapons to attack military targets deep in Russian territory from the atmosphere Biden The President of the United States, Paris and London also issued permission for Kiev to use long-range weapons donated by France and England.

While London has issued permission to use “Storm Shadow” missiles to attack targets in Russia, previously according to London’s policy, Ukrainian forces could use British weapons on Russian soil and could not use long-range Storm Shadow missiles to attack targets. take advantage within the borders of Russia.

On the other hand, “Emmanuel Macron”, the president of France, referring to the reports about Joe’s decision BidenThe President of the United States has described this decision as “correct” regarding the green light for Ukraine to use the long-range weapons made by the United States deep in the territory of Russia!

After this news, some media sources announced that on Tuesday, October 19 (November 29), Ukraine fired American missiles for the first time. Atkamz to the area Bryansk shot inside the territory of Russia. This is the first Ukrainian missile attack on Russia since the US gave Ukraine permission to use long-range missiles.

What goals are targeted in Russia with this license?

By announcing this news, “ISWThe Washington-based Institute for the Study of War has published a map of all possible targets that Ukraine could attack.

According to this institute, at least 245 known Russian military and paramilitary sites are within the missile range Atkamz Ukraine, especially the 300 km range type. Among these places, there are only 16 air bases from which Russia has transferred almost all its aircraft.

Based on geographic research ISW If the restrictions are only for the region Kursk removed, Kyiv will have access to 15 known locations there.

At least 11 other sites until the end August It was identified as “land with military use”; Areas that are used for military training and testing.

Moscow’s reaction to the West’s permission to use long-range weapons by Ukraine

The Kremlin has always emphasized that the use of American long-range missiles against Russia will lead to an increase in tensions and has promised an “appropriate response” in case Ukraine attacks its territory with these types of missiles.

“Vladimir Putin”, the president of Russia, had previously emphasized in a statement by stating that giving permission to Ukraine to use long-range missiles to attack targets in our territory is tantamount to the direct participation of NATO member states in the war against Russia: this issue reflects the nature of the conflict. It will change significantly.

Not long ago, in an interview with the Russian state television, the President of Russia pointed out that the Ukrainian army is not capable of independently using Western missile systems for such attacks without the intervention of NATO troops, and said: “If Kiev uses long-range missiles donated by Western countries deep into Russian territory.” slow to attack, then taking into account the changing nature of the conflict, we will make appropriate decisions based on the threats we will face.

Another important issue is the change in Russia’s nuclear doctrine, which Kremlin officials have always warned the West about. At the beginning of October this year, during the meeting of the Russian National Security Council, Putin proposed to discuss the updating of the foundations of Russian government policy in the field of nuclear doctrine.

Putin said Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in the face of foreign aggression, including when enemies pose a critical threat to Russia even with the use of conventional, non-nuclear weapons.

In this regard, Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, also stated that Moscow’s decision to update Russia’s nuclear doctrine came from the positions taken by Western countries against this country.

This incident finally happened on Tuesday (November 29) at the same time as the 1,000th day of the war in Ukraine and exactly one day after the US gave the green light to Ukraine to use long-range weapons. Putin signed a decree under which Moscow will now be allowed to use its nuclear weapons against “a non-nuclear state” provided that state has the backing of nuclear powers.

This updated Russian nuclear doctrine outlines the threats that would prompt the Kremlin to consider a nuclear attack, and states that any attack by conventional missiles, drones or other aircraft could be considered to meet these criteria.

It has also been said that any aggression against Russia by a country that is a member of a coalition, from Moscow’s point of view, will be considered as aggression against Russia by the entire coalition.

Meanwhile, Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in response to aggression against Belarus as a member of the Union, even using conventional weapons. Previously, such action could only be taken in response to the use of nuclear weapons against Russian allies.

The objectives behind the West’s license to use long-range weapons

One of the most important reasons for this permission to Ukraine is closely related to Russia’s superior hand in the battlefield; A battle that the West is trying to balance with the aim of eroding the war and weakening Moscow.

So far, Russia has under its control about 16-18% of the territory of Ukraine. This amount includes the areas captured after the February 2022 attack and parts of Ukraine that were previously captured by the Russians in 2014, including the Crimean Peninsula.

At the beginning of this war, Russia managed to capture about 27% of the territory of Ukraine, but during 2023 and 2024, this amount decreased. The currently occupied areas include parts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson; These areas are equivalent to approximately 90,000 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory, and a major part of it includes industrial and strategic areas in the south and east of the country.

In recent months, the name “Kursk” of Russia is heard more than any other region. In August 2024, Ukrainian forces launched a large-scale operation in the Kursk region of Russia and briefly occupied about 1,100 square kilometers of Russian territory. However, there are reports of recapture of parts of these areas by Russian forces. So far, Russia has regained about half of the territories lost during the unexpected attack of Ukraine on “Kursk”.

Therefore, according to what the media, commanders and forces of Russia and Ukraine report about the situation on the battlefield, Russia has gained achievements in this war with its military superiority and large number of troops, but the situation is not very satisfactory for the Ukrainian army and the army of this country is still He struggles with the lack of ammunition and forces.

In a report referring to the victory of US President-elect Donald Trump in the presidential election and his plans to end the war in Ukraine, the “Telegraph” newspaper writes: “The Russian president has deployed 50,000 troops to recapture the Kursk region, and probably before Trump’s inauguration, Russia It will completely liberate the region.”

Understanding the dimensions of Trump’s peace plan, Biden’s America and European allies are trying to help Ukraine seize territory, as the advisors of the new American president have announced that Zelensky should negotiate on the basis of the current front lines.

From the perspective of observers, other possible goals of the West to equip Ukraine with long-range weapons and license their use could include a combination of strategic and tactical reasons. These actions can seek to put pressure on Russia to deter or change its position on the battlefield, or even to force the Kremlin to change its approach in negotiations.

Inciting Russia to take hasty and ill-considered action and Moscow’s use of unconventional weapons and mass killing against Ukraine are other goals of the West regarding the granting of this controversial license. In this way, Biden’s America and its European allies are trying to legitimize their unquestioning support for Kiev and, while building a global coalition against Moscow, tie Trump’s hand to conclude a possible peace treaty.