22 June 1404 12:18 pm
The Russian military is capable of finishing the war using a nuclear attack in Ukraine. So why doesn’t Putin order such an attack?
Contrary to the initial predictions of the Russian army, it failed to conquer the capital of Ukraine in a short time and end the war. Of course, Russia has been able to control 5 % of Ukraine’s territory over the past 5.5 years; But such a performance is not very acceptable for the world’s second most powerful army. So why doesn’t Russia use nuclear weapons in Ukraine?
Important reasons for Russia’s nuclear attack on Ukraine
Take a look at the last Russian operation in Ukraine. They sent the UAVs and the missiles to Ukraine to take revenge on the sophisticated spider drone operation. However, most invasive birds were overthrown by Ukraine’s multi -layered defense. Russia is also fully aware that these drones cannot do much damage to the Ukrainian infrastructure and army. However, their overthrow with the help of expensive air defense missiles will put a lot of economic pressure on Ukraine and Western allies.
The Russian army is currently focused on such air strikes and has no intention of using nuclear weapons. Of course, the issue has nothing to do with Putin’s humanitarianism or to prevent the destruction of thousands of innocent people. The Russian dictator has serious restrictions on using nuclear weapons.
Russian nuclear doctrine
As a result, Russia’s nuclear military documents found that the country had completely updated its infrastructure and was ready for a widespread nuclear war. However, they have set specific conditions for the use of nuclear weapons. Putin reviewed Russia’s nuclear doctrine in year 6 and added three new scenarios to use this deadly weapon.
The first permissible state of rape is a civilian power against Russia with the direct or support of an atomic power. On this condition, the involvement of countries such as Britain, France and the United States may be considered a provocative action. Perhaps this was why Zelksky emphasized in explaining the spider web operation all the stages of this complex attack by Ukraine.
The second is when accurate and reliable information from a massive air strike against Russia and the attackers cross the border. In the third case, the enemy, with conventional weapons, creates an existential threat to Russian national sovereignty. None of these scenarios have occurred. As a result, Russia has no reason to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. They should at least be able to convince the public opinion of their country for such an action.
Remember that it has not long after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The Russian people still do not count Ukraine as an alien nation and long -standing hostility. As a result, Putin must have a strong reason to destroy them with an atomic bomb.
Presentation of a weak image of the Russian army
The second restriction of the Russian army on the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine relates to their image. The Russians currently have 6,000 missiles, of which about 6,000 are related to the S-300 and S-400 defense systems. They have also stored two Alexander’s ballistic missiles and two cruise missiles for use against Ukraine. In fact, the Russians are not yet militarily helpless that they want to end the war using nuclear weapons.
The use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine can also send a message of weakness to the Russian people and the world. This means that the Russian army had no way of achieving its goals and had to use nuclear weapons.
The loss of China and India
Another issue is the warnings of China and India. The two countries are Russian allies and have played an important role in preventing Russian economic collapse. In fact, if they were not their support, the Russian economy would have a significant blow to the war.
Chinese and Indian political officials have repeatedly warned Russia that they will not tolerate the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine. They do not want to be damaged as a result of a devastating war in the world economy. Putin is also fully aware that if the loss of China and India, he will be political and economic isolation. Such a situation will also undermine the foundations of his power in Russia.
Fear of the US and NATO reaction
As long as the war continues to be conventional, Westerners continue their military and economic support from Ukraine. However, if a nuclear attack on Ukraine occurs, we should expect widespread changes. Westerners have not yet forgotten the memory of World War II and Hitler. They do not want to again have the same fate by transmitting the message of weakness to the dictatorship. As a result, NATO will surely respond.
Some military news experts see the possibility of a conventional and heavy attack on Russia as possible. An attack that makes Russia no longer find the continuation of the war and lose its earlier achievements. Also, after the attack, it comes to a heavy Russian economic siege.
The combination of military failure, political isolation, and economic collapse are certainly not popular with Putin. That is why Russia is reluctant to attack Ukraine.
Restrictions of Russian nuclear attack on Ukraine
There are two other obstacles to Russia’s nuclear attack on Ukraine. First of all, Ukraine’s military forces are not centralized at one point. Russia certainly cannot use strategic nuclear weapons with apocalyptic power. As a result, their only option will be tactical atomic weapons with explosive power. These weapons are also unable to end the war. Especially since the West will not remain silent.
There are also many disputed areas near the Russian border. The use of nuclear weapons makes these areas no longer usable. In fact, Russia’s efforts to exploit them or their accession to their territory will be virtually useless. In addition, there is no guarantee that the radioactive pollution caused by nuclear attack on the Russian areas.
This causes Russian civilian citizens to be harmed and even areas such as Crimea are uninhabited.
Summary of the Russian nuclear attack on Ukraine
Having a nuclear weapon is not capable of using it in any situation. Russia intended to achieve specific goals in the country by attacking Ukraine. It is true that they have failed to achieve some of these goals, but they can still maintain some of their achievements by achieving peace.
Perhaps they are hopeful about the collapse of the Ukrainian army and the restriction of Western aid as a result of a war -torn war. In any case, the Russian nuclear invasion of Ukraine can ruin everything and lose the current achievements.
(tagstotranslate) Russian and Ukrainian war
RCO NEWS